UK trade balance deficit deepens, industrial output OK –


The pound was falling ahead of the release, reaching a low of 1.2954 at some point. Cable is now trading higher, around 1.2982. The round 1.30 level looms above.

The UK trade deficit widened to around 12.7 billion pounds, worse than 11 billion expected. On the other hand, manufacturing output remained flat as expected and the previous month saw an upwards revision to -0.1%.

The wider industrial output measure beat expectations with +0.5% and this uptick may have sparked the bounce back of the pair.

GBP/USD remains on the back foot. A combination of dollar strength and pound weakness has pushed the pair some 300 pips off the highs. The US dollar enjoyed a comeback after the robust jobs report on Friday. The gains were extended after a big beat on the JOLTs measure.

The pound’s weakness stems from the economic weakness seen this year and more recently from the BOE’s dovish tone at its recent meeting.

Support awaits at 1.2850 and 1.2720. Resistance is at 1.3050 and 1.3120.

More: GBP post-BOE – can it continue falling?

Here is the 30-minute chart showing the bounce in pound/dollar:

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Yohay Elam – Founder, Writer and Editor I have been into forex trading for over 5 years, and I share the experience that I have and the knowledge that I’ve accumulated. After taking a short course about forex. Like many forex traders, I’ve earned the significant share of my knowledge the hard way. Macroeconomics, the impact of news on the ever-moving currency markets and trading psychology have always fascinated me. Before founding Forex Crunch, I’ve worked as a programmer in various hi-tech companies. I have a B. Sc. in Computer Science from Ben Gurion University. Given this background, forex software has a relatively bigger share in the posts.

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