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US CB Consumer Confidence beats with 98.1

Consumers in the US are more confident than predicted: a score of 98.1 points provides a rosier picture for spending in the first month of 2016. Among the components, the expectations component advanced to 85.9, current conditions is at 116.4 and “jobs hard to get” dropped to 23.4 points.

In the immediate aftermath, we see more of the trend seen just before the publication: a “risk on” one favoring the greenback against the euro and the yen while commodity currencies and the pound are on the rise.

In addition, the Richmond Fed manufacturing index  stands at 2 points, as expected.

The Conference Board’s consumer confidence was expected to to  remain unchanged at 96.5 points in January, reflecting the same level of consumption  in the wake of the new year.

The mood was somewhat improving towards the publication, with the euro and the yen off their highs. A bounce back in oil helped.

Beforehand, Markit’s flash  services PMI disappointed by showing a drop from 54.3 to 53.7 points. Purchasing managers see less growth in the largest US sector.

The S&P / Case Shiller HPI beat expectations with a rise of 0.5% in house prices,  compared to 0.4% expected. Year over year, the pace accelerated from 5.5% to 5.8%, also faster than predicted.

The big event is tomorrow.

Fed decision: hard to keep it balanced – 4 scenarios

 

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam: Founder, Writer and Editor I have been into forex trading for over 5 years, and I share the experience that I have and the knowledge that I've accumulated. After taking a short course about forex. Like many forex traders, I've earned a significant share of my knowledge the hard way. Macroeconomics, the impact of news on the ever-moving currency markets and trading psychology have always fascinated me. Before founding Forex Crunch, I've worked as a programmer in various hi-tech companies. I have a B. Sc. in Computer Science from Ben Gurion University. Given this background, forex software has a relatively bigger share in the posts.