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USD/CNH’s decline is ongoing, despite last week’s sideways trading, with the currency pair still targeting the 2016 and 2017 lows and 78.6% Fibonacci retracement at 6.4437/17, Axel Rudolph, Senior FICC Technical Analyst at Commerzbank, reports. 

Key quotes

“USD/CNH is falling towards the 2016 and 2017 lows and 78.6% Fibonacci retracement at 6.4437/17. There it may at least short-term stabilise. Further down sit the May 2018 high at 6.4323 and also the February and early May 2018 highs at 6.3835/6.3774.” 

“Minor resistance comes in between the October low and the November 12 high at 6.6274/6.6349 and also at the November 9 high at 6.6495. Further resistance sits at the 6.6787 October 9 low as well as between the 55-day moving average and May to November downtrend line at 6.6979/6.7196.”

“While the currency pair remains below the next higher November spike high at 6.7746, we will retain our medium-term bearish outlook.”

 

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