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  • USD/CNH closed well above the confluence of the trendline connecting Nov. 30 and Dec. 21 highs and the 50-day moving average (MA) on Tuesday, confirming a bearish-to-bullish trend change.
  • The upside break of the trendline validates the bearish exhaustion signaled by the multiple long-tailed weekly candles.
  • As a result, the path of least resistance appears to be on the higher side. The bullish case would further strengthen if the pair closes above 6.7497 (March 28 high). That would open up upside toward the 200-day moving average (MA), currently at 6.8204.
  • The bullish case would weaken if the spot falls back below the falling trendline.

Daily chart

Trend: Bullish

Pivot points