Robert Rennie, Research Analyst at Westpac, suggests that they remain torn between positive US$ fundamentals on the one hand and the potential for all out trade war/ increased EM volatility on the other.
Key Quotes
“The fact that, even in the midst of what has felt like a significant leg up in trade hostilities between the EU, US and China, USD/JPY could not even dip much below 109.50 is a positive; though the failure to extend beyond 111 warrants caution.”
“Thus we would rather seek safety in a neutral near term outlook but assume that the current trade storm will pass eventually, and hold onto a positive medium term outlook.”
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