Search ForexCrunch
  • A combination of factors dragged USD/JPY lower for the third consecutive session on Monday.
  • Friday’s disappointing US Retail Sales, sliding US bond yields continued undermining the USD.
  • Persistent coronavirus jitters benefitted the safe-haven JPY and contributed to the selling bias.

The USD/JPY pair edged lower heading into the European session and dropped to three-day lows, around the 109.15 region in the last hour.

The pair struggled to capitalize on its modest intraday uptick, instead met with some fresh supply near mid-109.00s and has now drifted into the negative territory for the third straight session. Friday’s disappointing US Retail Sales figures reaffirmed the Fed’s dovish view and kept the US dollar bulls on the defensive. This, in turn, capped the upside for the USD/JPY pair.

In fact, the headline sales remained virtually unchanged during the reported month, marking a sharp deceleration from March’s upwardly revised reading of 10.7% (9.8% estimated previously). Adding to this, sales excluding autos decline 0.8% MoM in April, while the closely watched Retail Sales Control Group also fell short of market expectations and came in at -1.5%.

Bearish traders further took cues from the ongoing decline in the US Treasury bond yields, which was seen as another factor that acted as a headwind for the USD. On the other hand, worries over the continuous surge in new coronavirus cases in Asia underpinned the safe-haven Japanese yen and further contributed to the USD/JPY pair’s intraday decline back closer to the 109.00 round figure.

There isn’t any major market-moving economic data due for release from the US on Monday. Hence, the US bond yields will play a key role in influencing the USD price dynamics. Apart from this, the broader market risk sentiment will drive demand for the safe-haven JPY and allow traders to grab some short-term opportunities on the first day of a new trading week.

Technical levels to watch

 

Expert score

5

Etoro - Best For Beginner & Experts

  • 0% Commission and No stamp Duty
  • Regulated by US,UK & International Stock
  • Copy Successfull Traders
Your capital is at risk.