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USD/JPY Technical Analysis: Bull trend losing steam – USD/JPY trading below 111.50 level

  • USD/JPY is losing about 90 pips on Friday amid broad-based USD selling.
  • USD/JPY is still holding above a daily trendline from March, 26 suggesting that the bull trend is still in effect. However, the sell-off is happening near the 2018 high and just below the weekly 200-period simple moving average, increasing the odds of a successful bearish reversal.
  • USD/JPY just found support at 111.39 May 21 swing high and while a bounce can be expected it remains to be seen if the bull trend can actually resume to new highs.

USD/JPY 15-minute chart  

Spot rate:                 111.56
Relative change:      -0.81%      
High:                        112.64
Low:                         111.39

Trend:                       Bullish / Risk of bearish reversal

Resistance 1:  111.60-111.80 area, 23.6% and 38.2% Fibonacci retracement low/high July 11
Resistance 2:  112.19-112.40 area, July 11 high and intraday swing low  
Resistance 3:  112.64 July 12 high
Resistance 4:  113.18, 2018 high
Resistance 5:  113.26-113.38, 200-weekly simple moving average and January 8 high
Resistance 6:  114.45 October 27, 2017 high  

Support 1:    111.39 May 21 swing high
Support 2:    111.02-111.16 previous intraday swing lows
Support 3:    110.90 June 15 swing high

USD/JPY Daily chart

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