Where To Invest During The Stock Market Collapse?

Where To Invest During The Stock Market Collapse?

The US stock market moved significantly lower in August, with S&P500 down to 1100 region once the critical region at 1249 (March 2011 lows) was taken out.

Below we have a weekly chart, where you will notice that prices also broke through   the lowest support line of a corrective channel which is a very strong indication of   a completed   wave B)/II) around 1370. In such case we know that market is headed much lower, and the reason is a recovery since March 2008 which was clearly in three waves.

Guest post by Gregor Horvat

Three wave pattern as we know is a corrective structure, and since market already made one impulse down from 2007 pick, we know that long-term trend has changed from bullish to bearish.   With this being said, investors and traders, who are aware of an extremely bearish technical picture, should move their money out of risky assets into cash.

During the crisis money is also going into the bonds, but this safe-haven may not last long, and here is the reason WHY, taken from the book Conquer the Crash (Chapter 15), written by Robert R. Prechter Jr.

  • “Any bond issued by a borrower who cannot pay goes to zero in a depression. In the Great Depression, bonds of many companies, municipalities and foreign governments were crushed. They became wallpaper as their issuers went bankrupt and defaulted. Bonds of suspect issuers also went way down, at least for a time. Understand that in a crash, no one knows its depth, and almost everyone becomes afraid. That makes investors sell bonds of any issuers that they fear could default. Even when people trust the bonds they own, they are sometimes forced to sell them to raise cash to live on. For this reason, even the safest bonds can go down, at least temporarily, as AAA bonds did in 1931 and 1932.”


However, you can also take advantage during the “stock collapse”! There are many ETF’s that are negatively correlated with stocks, which means they trade higher when stocks are falling. One of them is called SDS (UltraShort S&P500 Proshares). Well, lets take a look wave count on it.

On SDS daily chart, we can see a very sharp rise from July lows, called an impulsive wave in Elliott Wave theory, followed by a three wave of decline from August pick. A corrective retracement that shows first evidences of a completion around 22 region. Further rise and close above 27 will confirm a bullish trend towards and above 30, while the S&P500 (cash market) will be moving lower.

Will you stay in cash, or will you move your money into assets like SDS is your decision, but keep in mind that there could be a good buying opportunity ahead of us, once the global bear market finds the bottom somewhere below March 2008 low.

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Gregor Horvat

Gregor Horvat

Grega Horvat Grega is based in Slovenia and has been involved in markets since 2003. He is the owner of Ew-Forecast, but before that he was working for Capital Forex Group and TheLFB.com. His feature articles have been published on FXstreet.com, Thestreet.com, Action forex, Forex TV, Istockanalyst, ForexFactory, Fxtraders.eu, Insidefutures.com, etc. He recently won the award on FXStreet.com for Best Forex Analysis in 2016. At Ew-forecast he helps clients and educates them about the Elliott wave principle and how to label and track unfolding patterns in real time. His approach to the markets is mainly technical. He uses a lot of different methods when analyzing the markets such as candlestick patterns, MA, technical indicators etc. His specialty, however, is Elliott Wave Theory which could be very helpful especially if you know how to use it in combination with other tools/indicators. EW-Forecast To be involved in the market effectively, you need the right guidance and resources, and our team can help you to achieve that. Our team is providing advanced informations about Elliott Wave theory in real time. The Elliott Wave Principle gives you a method for identifying the behavior of the markets and at what points the market is most likely to turn. We help new traders who are interested in Elliott Wave theory to understand it correctly. We are doing our best to explain our views as simple as possible with educational goal, because knowledge itself is power!