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Breakout Of   A Triangle On USDMXN

Hello traders,  

In this analysis, we will talk about a triangle pattern. Those who are familiar with them will know that these are one of the most popular patterns by hundreds of traders. The reason why they are so interesting is that while they are unfolding, momentum is decreasing, volume is low, therefore everyone wants to catch the breakout because we know that sooner or later every correction comes to an end. And very often moves out of a triangle are sharp and fast!

One of the triangles that we recently recognized was on USDMXN that we covered also back in August in this video  

What happened since then is a breakdown that can still continue towards the target. But if you dig deeper into the Elliott Wave triangles then you will know that new reversal may show up in a few weeks, as this breakdown can be the final leg withing a higher degree of a trend as I describe below.

However, not all of the triangles are easy to be recognized, and that is where Elliott Wave shows its strength. Theory suggests that triangle unfolds in a five waveform, A-B-C-D-E, so if you know the wave principle and you see five sub-waves, then you can already be one step ahead of others because it indicates that potential breakout is coming. Another thing that is very important is that triangles occur within an ongoing uptrend, so you know in which direction the breakout is most likely going to happen.

Also, it is very good to know in which position of an Elliott Wave cycle triangle occurs. It can occur in wave 4 of an impulsive structure, wave B, and in wave X. By understanding the Elliott Wave then you know that once a triangle is complete the market is very often going to make a final move within a higher degree of a trend. So, not only that you spot the direction of a breakout but also understand that after that breakout, the market can be in the final part of a higher degree structure.

Triangle with Fibonacci application and guidelines.

Gregor Horvat

Gregor Horvat

Grega Horvat Grega is based in Slovenia and has been involved in markets since 2003. He is the owner of Ew-Forecast, but before that he was working for Capital Forex Group and TheLFB.com. His feature articles have been published on FXstreet.com, Thestreet.com, Action forex, Forex TV, Istockanalyst, ForexFactory, Fxtraders.eu, Insidefutures.com, etc. He recently won the award on FXStreet.com for Best Forex Analysis in 2016. At Ew-forecast he helps clients and educates them about the Elliott wave principle and how to label and track unfolding patterns in real time. His approach to the markets is mainly technical. He uses a lot of different methods when analyzing the markets such as candlestick patterns, MA, technical indicators etc. His specialty, however, is Elliott Wave Theory which could be very helpful especially if you know how to use it in combination with other tools/indicators. EW-Forecast To be involved in the market effectively, you need the right guidance and resources, and our team can help you to achieve that. Our team is providing advanced informations about Elliott Wave theory in real time. The Elliott Wave Principle gives you a method for identifying the behavior of the markets and at what points the market is most likely to turn. We help new traders who are interested in Elliott Wave theory to understand it correctly. We are doing our best to explain our views as simple as possible with educational goal, because knowledge itself is power!