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USDCHF: The Triangle is Pointing Up

USDCHF has been moving sideways since the end of March. We see five price swings between two trend lines that reminds us of a triangle formation. That’s a five wave A-B-C-D-E pattern that occurs in the direction of a trend, so it’s a continuation formation that suggests more upside for the USDCHF. In fact, this bullish trend continuation may resume very soon after a recent bounce from 0.9470 and towards the upper resistance line. The move from the last few days is sharp, so a break above the trend line may not be far away, which will confirm a bullish run for the USD against the Swiss Franc. We see 1.0000 coming, or even 1.0300-1.0400 in the months ahead.

USDCHF, Daily

usdchf d

On the 4h chart, USDCHF has finally broken to the upside, emerging from a downward channel, lifting prices up to 0.9740 as expected. We see a current leg as wave (3) of a new bullish impulse so more gains should follow ahead, especially after a wave four pullback which can take place in the next few sessions. Supports are seen at 0.9755 and 0.9715.

USDCHF, 4H

USDCHF 4

A Triangle is a common 5 wave pattern labeled A-B-C-D-E that moves counter-trend and is corrective in nature. Triangles move within two channel lines drawn from waves A to C, and from waves B to D. Triangles are overlapping five wave affairs that subdivide into 3-3-3-3-3.

Basic Triangle Pattern:

triangle

Gregor Horvat

Gregor Horvat

Grega Horvat Grega is based in Slovenia and has been involved in markets since 2003. He is the owner of Ew-Forecast, but before that he was working for Capital Forex Group and TheLFB.com. His feature articles have been published on FXstreet.com, Thestreet.com, Action forex, Forex TV, Istockanalyst, ForexFactory, Fxtraders.eu, Insidefutures.com, etc. He recently won the award on FXStreet.com for Best Forex Analysis in 2016. At Ew-forecast he helps clients and educates them about the Elliott wave principle and how to label and track unfolding patterns in real time. His approach to the markets is mainly technical. He uses a lot of different methods when analyzing the markets such as candlestick patterns, MA, technical indicators etc. His specialty, however, is Elliott Wave Theory which could be very helpful especially if you know how to use it in combination with other tools/indicators. EW-Forecast To be involved in the market effectively, you need the right guidance and resources, and our team can help you to achieve that. Our team is providing advanced informations about Elliott Wave theory in real time. The Elliott Wave Principle gives you a method for identifying the behavior of the markets and at what points the market is most likely to turn. We help new traders who are interested in Elliott Wave theory to understand it correctly. We are doing our best to explain our views as simple as possible with educational goal, because knowledge itself is power!