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EUR/USD at the edge of the cliff, trick or treat?

The  EUR/USD  has been under pressure by news from Italy and Germany in recent days but bounced back after every drop. The pair is now at the edge of a critical support line on Halloween. Will it hold on this time?

The  Technical Confluences Indicator  shows that a dense cluster of support lines is aligned around  1.1335. This consists of last week’s low, the daily low, the Bollinger Band 15-min Lower, the BB one-day Lower, and the Pivot Point one-day Support 1 among others.

A break below 1.1335 opens the door to  1.3312  where we see the convergence of the Pivot Points one-day Support 2, and one-month Support 1. The next level below is 1.1218  where the Pivot  Point one-week Support 2 is seen.

Looking up,  1.1352  serves as resistance and is the confluence of the Bollinger Band 15-min Upper, the SMA 5-4h, the Fibonacci 23.6% one-day and the previous 4h-high.

At  1.1388  we see the meeting point of the Fibonacci 23.6% one-week and yesterday’s high point.

Here is how it looks on the tool:

EUR USD technical analysis October 31 Halloween edition

Confluence Detector

The Confluence Detector finds  exciting opportunities using Technical Confluences.  The TC is a tool to locate and point out those price levels where there is a  congestion of indicators,  moving averages,  Fibonacci levels, Pivot Points, etc. Knowing where these congestion points are located is very useful for the trader, and can be used as a basis for different strategies.

This tool assigns a certain amount of “weight” to each indicator, and this “weight” can influence  adjacents  price levels. These weightings mean that one  price level without any indicator  or moving average but under the influence of two “strongly weighted” levels accumulate more resistance than their neighbors. In these cases, the tool signals resistance in apparently empty areas.

Learn more about Technical Confluence

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam: Founder, Writer and Editor I have been into forex trading for over 5 years, and I share the experience that I have and the knowledge that I've accumulated. After taking a short course about forex. Like many forex traders, I've earned a significant share of my knowledge the hard way. Macroeconomics, the impact of news on the ever-moving currency markets and trading psychology have always fascinated me. Before founding Forex Crunch, I've worked as a programmer in various hi-tech companies. I have a B. Sc. in Computer Science from Ben Gurion University. Given this background, forex software has a relatively bigger share in the posts.