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USD/JPY getting closer to 100 – will it break?

Yohay Elam

The Japanese yen, known as the ultimate safe haven currency, continues attracting flows. USD/JPY is  currently trading at 100.27, below the support line 100.70. And more importantly, it is  edging nearer to the very round  number of 100.

Update:  USD/JPY loses a digit – slips under 100

We have already been there in the not-so-distant past: post-Brexit, the pair fell to 99, but this did not last too long.  As we finally get some hard data about the UK economy, could we  see dollar/yen pushing lower?

The flow of funds to Japan is not really accompanied by other safe haven flows: oil prices continue moving higher, with prices rising above $45. Commodity currencies are looking healthy in their ranges.

So are we seeing USD selling more than anything else? The weak retail sales report in the US hurt the greenback for some time but the close on Friday eventually turned into a flow into safe haven assets and the yen tops all of them.So, it seems  that dollar/yen  is pushed down by dollar sell-offs and also by safe-haven flows only.

Yesterday’s Japanese GDP numbers were quite disappointing: the economy did not really grow, contrary to expectations, and inflation also remained low. The strong yen is  partially to blame and the Japnese press  is highlighting this.

The recent downfall  was initially fuelled by the  shortfalls of the government and the BOJ in  comparison to the high expectations for stimulus from both institutions.

More: USD/JPY to 87 by year-end – Barclays

Here is how it looks on the daily chart. The pair is at the lowest  in a month.

Dollar yen August 16 2016 yen strong

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam: Founder, Writer and Editor I have been into forex trading for over 5 years, and I share the experience that I have and the knowledge that I've accumulated. After taking a short course about forex. Like many forex traders, I've earned a significant share of my knowledge the hard way. Macroeconomics, the impact of news on the ever-moving currency markets and trading psychology have always fascinated me. Before founding Forex Crunch, I've worked as a programmer in various hi-tech companies. I have a B. Sc. in Computer Science from Ben Gurion University. Given this background, forex software has a relatively bigger share in the posts.