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Australian GDP falls 0.5% – AUD/USD follows

Australia’s economy shrank by 0.5% in Q3 2016, worse than  a growth rate of 0.2% that was expected. Australia has seen very quarters of contraction since it last had a recession 25 years ago.  The economy of the land down under previously squeezed in 2008 but that bout, as well as others, never lasted more than one quarter.

The read is the worst since early 2011. Year over year, the economy is still growing: 1.8%, yet this is lower than expected as well. Basically most GDP components dragged it down.

The silver lining is that this Q3 contraction came on top of an upwards revised Q2: the economy grew by 0.6% back then. Is this a one-off blip after a great quarter? According to  analysts, Q4 is expected to be better than Q3.

AUD/USD dropped from near 0.75 to nearly 0.74, but managed to  stabilize. Support awaits at 0.7365, followed by 0.73. Looking up, 0.75 is a line of resistance.

More: AUD, NZD: Fade Rallies As Risk Aversion Likely To Pickup In December – TD

Here is the chart:

audusd-december-7-2016-technical-chart

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam: Founder, Writer and Editor I have been into forex trading for over 5 years, and I share the experience that I have and the knowledge that I've accumulated. After taking a short course about forex. Like many forex traders, I've earned a significant share of my knowledge the hard way. Macroeconomics, the impact of news on the ever-moving currency markets and trading psychology have always fascinated me. Before founding Forex Crunch, I've worked as a programmer in various hi-tech companies. I have a B. Sc. in Computer Science from Ben Gurion University. Given this background, forex software has a relatively bigger share in the posts.