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Forex Daily Outlook – April 30th 2009

The economic calendar is packed by events today, with German  Unemployment Change, Canadian GDP and American  Unemployment Claims being the most important figures. The market is still shaken from yesterday’s Advance GDP and FOMC Statement. Let’s see what’s up for today:

In Australia,  CB Leading Index rose by 0.2%, showing that the Australian economy is still stable.  NAB Quarterly Business Confidence fell by 24 points. And the  Private Sector Credit in Australia rose by 0.1%. AUD/USD now trades at 0.7273, keeping it’s gains.  

GfK Consumer Confidence in Britain was slightly better than expected, falling by -27. Also  Nationwide HPI  was better than expected, falling by only  0.4%. Good signs from Britain? GBP/USD is trading above 1.48.

In Japan,  Prelim Industrial Production is on the rise: it climbed by 1.6%, double the early expectations much better than last month’s dive. The  Overnight Call Rate in Japan stayed at 0.1%, unchanged. Also the  Monetary Policy Statement proved to be a non-event. Will the BOJ Press Conference be more interesting? Maybe the  BOJ Outlook Report?

In Europe,  German Unemployment Change will be closely watched by traders. It’s expected to rise by 65K. The CPI Flash Estimate is predicted to rise by 0.7% – deflation. Also note the European  Unemployment Rate. Despite being a late figure, it’s quoted by the media and puts pressure on the ECB. EUR/USD is trading higher, at 1.3327.

In Canada, the monthly GDP report is expected to be almost unchanged at -0.1%, after last month’s fall of 0.7%. Also Purchasing Managers Index figures will be published in Canada, with both  RMPI and  IPPI expected to rise.

In the US,  Unemployment Claims are predicted to stay stable at 639K. The American job market is suffering. The quarterly  Employment Cost Index is predicted to rise by 0.5%.

Also in the US,  Core PCE Price Index is expected to rise by 0.2% and  Personal Spending is estimated to fall by 0.1%.  

Later, Chicago PMI is expected to improve, rising to 35 points.

Near the end of the day, Japanese  Household Spending is expected to fall by 2.6%. The  Tokyo Core CPI will probably show that prices in Japan are not moving – rising by only 0.2% (annually adjusted).

These are the major events for today. Happy Forex Trading!

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam: Founder, Writer and Editor I have been into forex trading for over 5 years, and I share the experience that I have and the knowledge that I've accumulated. After taking a short course about forex. Like many forex traders, I've earned a significant share of my knowledge the hard way. Macroeconomics, the impact of news on the ever-moving currency markets and trading psychology have always fascinated me. Before founding Forex Crunch, I've worked as a programmer in various hi-tech companies. I have a B. Sc. in Computer Science from Ben Gurion University. Given this background, forex software has a relatively bigger share in the posts.