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Draghi’s introductory statement helps stabilize the euro

The  prepared statement of ECB President Mario Draghi has been released as he speaks, and its not earth shattering so far. Draghi sees inflation recovering in a lower than expected pace, but we already know that from the ECB press conference earlier in the month.

EUR/USD is ticking up within the range, back up 1.1160, up from falling on more dovish ECB comments earlier. It could certainly get more interesting once he tackles questions.

On QE, Draghi says they can change it, and that’s not news.

On inflation, he sees it falling to near zero in the very near term but rising towards the end of the year.

Draghi, like Yellen, sees risks in emerging markets and also mentions oil prices (no surprise) and the exchange rate. The latter isn’t reacting so far, as Draghi has already  elegantly entered the currency wars.

He cites renewed downside risks (as heard in that recent presser) but also notes that it is too early to tell if the latest weakness will last.

All in all, EUR/USD maintains the recent ranges. We had some relatively hawkish talk early in the day from central European ECB members, but this was countered by Peter Praet, who leans to the dovish side.

Markets were  already  pricing in action from the ECB, so no news is good news, or at least we have no further deterioration at the moment. The key line is 1.11

EURUSD up on Draghi initially September 23 2015 technical chart

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Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam: Founder, Writer and Editor I have been into forex trading for over 5 years, and I share the experience that I have and the knowledge that I've accumulated. After taking a short course about forex. Like many forex traders, I've earned a significant share of my knowledge the hard way. Macroeconomics, the impact of news on the ever-moving currency markets and trading psychology have always fascinated me. Before founding Forex Crunch, I've worked as a programmer in various hi-tech companies. I have a B. Sc. in Computer Science from Ben Gurion University. Given this background, forex software has a relatively bigger share in the posts.