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NZD getting close to a selling point? – BNZ

The New  Zealand dollar is rallying nicely on the rise in milk prices as well as other commodities. Can this “risk on”  rally continue?

The team at BNZ analyzes the drivers of the kiwi:

Here is their view, courtesy of eFXnews:

A pick-up in risk appetite, on delayed Fed hikes, has seen EM FX, AUD higher, and NZD up through 0.66, notes Bank of New Zealand (BNZ).

“NZD/USD’s rally through 0.66 comes courtesy of a remarkable turnaround in risk sentiment. The recent disappointments in US data (non-farm payrolls, in particular) have given succour to the view that US rates will remain low for a little while longer. Having been downbeat of late, global investors decided to take a “glass half full” approach to this news.

Risk on risk off returning to markets New Zealand dollar NZD

Equities, commodities, and emerging market currencies are all sharply higher from late-September levels. As we’ve discussed before, the return of RORO (risk-on, risk-off) behaviour is particularly salient for NZD,” BNZ adds.

If sentiment remains positive, NZD could remain at these levels, or even push through 0.67 briefly. We’d be sellers. The balance of risks, on interest rates and volatility, strongly suggest a return toward 0.60,” BNZ advises.

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Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam: Founder, Writer and Editor I have been into forex trading for over 5 years, and I share the experience that I have and the knowledge that I've accumulated. After taking a short course about forex. Like many forex traders, I've earned a significant share of my knowledge the hard way. Macroeconomics, the impact of news on the ever-moving currency markets and trading psychology have always fascinated me. Before founding Forex Crunch, I've worked as a programmer in various hi-tech companies. I have a B. Sc. in Computer Science from Ben Gurion University. Given this background, forex software has a relatively bigger share in the posts.