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USD/JPY Death Cross, EUR/USD: Leading the USD story

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In today’s Forex Forecast, we note the technical outlook for EUR/USD, USD/JPY and the DXY with, Nicole Elliott, Technical Analyst and Private Investor.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=utgfPBhKna4&feature=youtu.be

USD/JPY: Death cross

Elliott takes a look at the weekly charts for USD/JPY, noting that the cross remains below the long-trendline, calling the previous break just an extension. She adds that there is support from a big cloud , but with a death cross on the charts, the outlook remains negative.

She says how the pair looks tired, and breaking below 118 and 115 might open up lower levels towards 105.

EUR/USD: Nowhere near parity

Elliott explains how EUR/USD trades nowhere near parity, but near this year’s highs. She adds how the pair is now trapped in a right angled triangle formation.

On the recent spoke, Elliott quotes that this is more of a dollar story than the EUR one, with the Fed rate hike uncertainty pushing the pair higher.

DXY: Longer-term charts post a dim picture

Looking at the longer-term charts for the USD Index, Elliott notes how the dollar rallied in 2014, but remains in a triangle formation in this year. She adds how she expected the index to top, and how this has been a really slow process than anticipated. On the slow topping, she believes that this is more of a QE story which has impacted how people invest in the markets.

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