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AUD/USD looks vulnerable – 3 reasons

The Australian dollar continues licking its wounds after the  excellent US NFP  report and it’s holding above 0.70.

Can  it recover? Not so fast: things are looking a bit negative. Here are 3 recent negative developments:

  1. Chinese trade: The economic giant reported  a y/y drop in exports and a bigger 18.8% drop in imports  for the month of October. Both numbers were worse than expected. The drop in imports means less demand for Australian commodities.
  2. Chinese inflation: Prices dropped by 0.3% in October and y/y they rose only 1.3%. PPI  remains at -5.9%. These disappointment and negative signs also point to a slowdown.
  3. Australian business confidence: The NAB Business Confidence dropped from 5 to 2 points in Q3. This is not only related to China and also adds to worries.

Next on the agenda we have industrial output from China tomorrow morning and Australian employment figures on Thursday.

AUD/USD is  very stable in range: trading at 0.7050 at the time of writing, between 0.70 and 07065. So far, it seems to respect the round level of 0.70. But for how long?

Below, support awaits at 0.6935, which was a double bottom.  Higher resistance awaits at 0.7110 and 0.72.

More:  AUD: Maxed Out? – Credit Agricole

AUDUSD daily chart November 10 2015

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Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam: Founder, Writer and Editor I have been into forex trading for over 5 years, and I share the experience that I have and the knowledge that I've accumulated. After taking a short course about forex. Like many forex traders, I've earned a significant share of my knowledge the hard way. Macroeconomics, the impact of news on the ever-moving currency markets and trading psychology have always fascinated me. Before founding Forex Crunch, I've worked as a programmer in various hi-tech companies. I have a B. Sc. in Computer Science from Ben Gurion University. Given this background, forex software has a relatively bigger share in the posts.