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EUR/USD at 5-month high despite real results showing Le

Votes are being counted in France and they show  extreme-right candidate Le Pen is  leading with over 25%, with Macron behind with 21%. This is  the opposite of the exit polls, which put Macron on top. Update:

Update: after counting 20 million votes, Le Pen still leads but the gap is smaller: 24.4% against  Macron with 22.2%. Fillon is third with 19.6%, so this cements the  run-off between Macron and Le Pen.

EUR/USD levels to watch after the favorable first French round

However, this is mostly based on polls that have closed earlier, mostly in rural areas. Macron has more support among voters in cities, especially among younger urbanites.

In any case, this still leaves the two candidates in the second round. The run-off awaits us on May 7th. There, opinion polls have consistently show Macron beating Le Pen by  of around 28%, 64% to 36% according to the latest polls.

Initial trading in EUR/USD sends EUR/USD some 200 higher around 1.0929. The pair closed at 1.0724 on Friday. Even earlier trading already sent euro/dollar above 1.09 on the publication of the exit polls. This is a 5 month high and the highest level for 2017.

See how to trade the elections with EUR/USD

In the meantime, both mainstream candidates conceded defeat and called the  French to vote for centrist Emmanuel Macron. Socialist Hamon and center-right Fillon seemed disappointed but had hard criticism against Le Pen. According to exit polls,

Extreme-left candidate Melenchon stands out by not conceding defeat. Is he awaiting the urbanites as well? Melenchon calls for constraints on vote estimates.

Fillon and Melenchon received 19.5%. Hamon got only 6%. These exit polls were preceded by early reports in the Belgian press also showing similar numbers.

more coming

French elections – all the updates in one place

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam: Founder, Writer and Editor I have been into forex trading for over 5 years, and I share the experience that I have and the knowledge that I've accumulated. After taking a short course about forex. Like many forex traders, I've earned a significant share of my knowledge the hard way. Macroeconomics, the impact of news on the ever-moving currency markets and trading psychology have always fascinated me. Before founding Forex Crunch, I've worked as a programmer in various hi-tech companies. I have a B. Sc. in Computer Science from Ben Gurion University. Given this background, forex software has a relatively bigger share in the posts.