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EUR/USD clearly breaks resistance on ECB rumors, weak US

EUR/USD continues its recovery after bouncing off low support. If the previous moves were more related to cherry-picking good data and ignoring the weaker figures, now the pair has more substantial reasons to rise.

According to a report, the European Central Bank is set to  remove its easing bias in the June meeting. The Frankfurt-based Institute  will probably upgrade its  economic risk assessment. Removing the easing bias is the first step to announcing the end of the QE program. Such a move means that Draghi is dragged into tightening instead of dragging the euro down.

The second driver comes from the US data. The Core PCE Price Index slipped once again, this time from 1.6% to 1.5%. While the numbers matched expectations (especially after the weak Core CPI(, it still means that inflation is falling. In turn, the data lowers the chance for a rate hike in June.

EUR/USD reached 1.1193 and broke back above resistance at 1.1160. The next level to watch is 1.1266.


Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam: Founder, Writer and Editor I have been into forex trading for over 5 years, and I share the experience that I have and the knowledge that I've accumulated. After taking a short course about forex. Like many forex traders, I've earned a significant share of my knowledge the hard way. Macroeconomics, the impact of news on the ever-moving currency markets and trading psychology have always fascinated me. Before founding Forex Crunch, I've worked as a programmer in various hi-tech companies. I have a B. Sc. in Computer Science from Ben Gurion University. Given this background, forex software has a relatively bigger share in the posts.