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EUR/USD can run higher if it breaks above 1.1433

EUR/USD  is trading in steadily on Black Friday, holding above the  1.1400  level but not going anywhere fast. While the pair is entrenched in a narrow range, there is a higher chance of an upside movement than a downside one.

The  Technical Confluences Indicator  shows that that significant resistance awaits at  1.1433  where we see the convergence of the Fibonacci 23.6% one-day, the Simple Moving Average 200-4h, and the Fibonacci 38.2% one-month.

If the pair overcomes this major hurdle, it faces weaker caps on the upside. The most notable resistance is only at  1.1504  which is the meeting point of the SMA 50-one-day and the Fibonacci 61.8% one-month. Further above,  1.1527  is where we see the Pivot Point one-month Resistance 1. At  1.1557  the pair encounters the SMA 100-one-day and the Pivot Point one-week R2.

Looking down, EUR/USD has a lot of support:  1.1409  is a dense cluster including the SMA 5-one-day, the Bollinger Band 4h-Middle, the BB 1h-Middle, the BB 15m-lower, the SMA 200-15m, the SMA 10-4h, and the Fibonacci 61.8% one-day.

At  1.1380  we see another considerable cushion including the SMA 100-4h, the Fibonacci 23.6% one-month, the BB one-day Middle, and the Fibonacci 23.6% one-week.

Here is how it looks on the tool:

EUR USD technical analysis confluence November 23 2018

Confluence Detector

The Confluence Detector finds  exciting opportunities using Technical Confluences.  The TC is a tool to locate and point out those price levels where there is a  congestion of indicators,  moving averages,  Fibonacci levels, Pivot Points, etc. Knowing where these congestion points are located is very useful for the trader, and can be used as a basis for different strategies.

This tool assigns a certain amount of “weight” to each indicator, and this “weight” can influence  adjacents  price levels. These weightings mean that one  price level without any indicator  or moving average but under the influence of two “strongly weighted” levels accumulate more resistance than their neighbors. In these cases, the tool signals resistance in apparently empty areas.

Learn more about Technical Confluence

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam: Founder, Writer and Editor I have been into forex trading for over 5 years, and I share the experience that I have and the knowledge that I've accumulated. After taking a short course about forex. Like many forex traders, I've earned a significant share of my knowledge the hard way. Macroeconomics, the impact of news on the ever-moving currency markets and trading psychology have always fascinated me. Before founding Forex Crunch, I've worked as a programmer in various hi-tech companies. I have a B. Sc. in Computer Science from Ben Gurion University. Given this background, forex software has a relatively bigger share in the posts.