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EUR/USD path of least resistance is down, recovery may be tough

Yohay Elam

EUR/USD  lost some ground as the US Dollar extended its climb, on the echoes of the upbeat Non-Farm Payrolls report. Can EUR/USD recover? Not so fast.

The  Technical Confluences Indicator  shows that the pair faces resistance at  1.1442  which is a dense cluster including the Simple Moving Average 5-4h, the Bollinger Band 1h-Middle, the Fibonacci 61.8% one-week, the Fibonacci 38.2% one-day, the SMA 100-1d, and the Bollinger Band 15-minutes Upper.

If euro/dollar manages to break higher, it faces quite a few confluences of resistance  with another notable one at  1.1472, where we see the convergence of the Fibonacci 61.8% one-month, the Pivot Point one-day Resistance 2, and the Fibonacci 38.2% one-week.

Looking down, support awaits at  1.1400. Apart from being a round number, the area consists of the following technical lines: the Pivot Point one-month Support 1, the SMA 50-1d and last week’s low.

The next noteworthy support line is only at  1.1317  which is the meeting point of the Fibonacci 161.8% one-week and the BB 1d-Lower.

Here is how it looks on the tool:

EUR USD Technical confluence February 5 2019

Confluence Detector

The Confluence Detector finds  exciting opportunities using Technical Confluences.  The TC is a tool to locate and point out those price levels where there is a  congestion of indicators,  moving averages,  Fibonacci levels, Pivot Points, etc. Knowing where these congestion points are located is very useful for the trader, and can be used as a basis for different strategies.

This tool assigns a certain amount of “weight” to each indicator, and this “weight” can influence  adjacents  price levels. These weightings mean that one  price level without any indicator  or moving average but under the influence of two “strongly weighted” levels accumulate more resistance than their neighbors. In these cases, the tool signals resistance in apparently empty areas.

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam: Founder, Writer and Editor I have been into forex trading for over 5 years, and I share the experience that I have and the knowledge that I've accumulated. After taking a short course about forex. Like many forex traders, I've earned a significant share of my knowledge the hard way. Macroeconomics, the impact of news on the ever-moving currency markets and trading psychology have always fascinated me. Before founding Forex Crunch, I've worked as a programmer in various hi-tech companies. I have a B. Sc. in Computer Science from Ben Gurion University. Given this background, forex software has a relatively bigger share in the posts.