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EUR/USD has more room to fall than rise ahead of the ECB

EUR/USD  has been on the back foot amid disappointing German and French figures. The world’s most popular currency pair now faces the most significant test – the European Central Bank’s rate decision. How is euro/dollar positioned?

The  Technical Confluences Indicator  shows that EUR/USD faces robust resistance at  1.1140 where we see a dense cluster including the Fibonacci 23.6% one-day, the Simple Moving Average 5-15m, the SMA 10-15m, the Bollinger Band 15min-Middle, the Fibonacci 38.2% one-day, and the BB 1h-Upper.

On the downside, some support awaits at  1.1128  where the Pivot Point one-day Support 1 and the previous daily low converge.

Further down, a weaker cushion awaits  1.1098  where the PP 1w-S3 and the PP 1d-S3 meet. It is followed by 1.1065 where the PP 1m-S2 meets the price.

Resistance above 1.1140 is substantial. The first noteworthy confluence area is  1.1186  where we see the PP 1d-R3, the PP 1w-S1, and the SMA 100-1h.

Further above, fierce resistance awaits at  1.1221  where the PP 1m-S1 and the Fibonacci 23.6% one-week converge.

All in all, support is weaker than resistance.

Here is how it looks on the tool:

fxsoriginal

Confluence Detector

The Confluence Detector finds  exciting opportunities using Technical Confluences.  The TC is a tool to locate and point out those price levels where there is a  congestion of indicators,  moving averages,  Fibonacci levels, Pivot Points, etc. Knowing where these congestion points are located is very useful for the trader, and can be used as a basis for different strategies.

This tool assigns a certain amount of “weight” to each indicator, and this “weight” can influence  adjacents  price levels. These weightings mean that one  price level without any indicator  or moving average but under the influence of two “strongly weighted” levels accumulate more resistance than their neighbors. In these cases, the tool signals resistance in apparently empty areas.

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam: Founder, Writer and Editor I have been into forex trading for over 5 years, and I share the experience that I have and the knowledge that I've accumulated. After taking a short course about forex. Like many forex traders, I've earned a significant share of my knowledge the hard way. Macroeconomics, the impact of news on the ever-moving currency markets and trading psychology have always fascinated me. Before founding Forex Crunch, I've worked as a programmer in various hi-tech companies. I have a B. Sc. in Computer Science from Ben Gurion University. Given this background, forex software has a relatively bigger share in the posts.