- Gold remains poised to gain amid corona fears.
- US yields are dropping.
- Global data is not positive, raising demand for safe-haven.
Gold prices remained stable and continued to climb on Friday, while an eight-day rally in Treasury bonds ended amid fears of a global rise in new Covid-19 infections.
Spot gold rose 0.1% to $1804.91 an ounce, while US gold futures climbed 0.3% to $1804.95 an ounce.
The yield on 10-year US Treasuries increased 3.8 basis points after falling 14 basis points in the first four days of the week.
The yields on Germany’s 10-year bonds and other large eurozone government bonds also rose.
The US Dollar remained stable amid growing fears of the rapid spread of the Delta virus, which could put even more pressure on the economy; which also contributed to the sharp drop in share prices.
Investors did not ignore the news that the Biden administration plans to add ten Chinese companies to the blacklist.
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On the economic front, consumer price inflation in China eased in June, and production prices rose at a slower pace after the government stepped up measures to curb rising commodity prices.
The UK economy grew at a slower pace in May, despite easing restrictions related to COVID-19.
Gold price forecast: Key events to watch next week
Three key events can potentially bring volatility in the EUR/USD pair.
US core inflation
US core inflation figures are due on Tuesday. Although the inflation figures may weigh on the Greenback apparently it seems like the market has already discounted the effect of higher inflation.
US PPI
US PPIUS PPI data is due on Wednesday, and it can impart a significant change in the pricing of the EUR/USD. We expect a positive release of figures.
US retail sales
US retail sales figures are due on Friday. We expect a rise in US retail sales.
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Gold price technical forecast for the week July 12 – 16
Gold price remains in the consolidation phase and looks for a catalyst to find the directional bias. Gold remains on the upside, beyond the 20-SMA on the 4-hour chart. The volume is near average which shows that there is no clear bias in the market. However, the path of least resistance lies on the upside. The initial target for the precious metal is $1844.
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Saqib Iqbal
