Home Gold Price Sees Dead Cat Bounce Ahead of US ADP Data

Gold Price Sees Dead Cat Bounce Ahead of US ADP Data

  • The XAU/USD could return higher if it stays above the weekly pivot point.
  • The US data should bring sharp movements today.
  • After its strong growth, a temporary retreat was natural.

The gold price experienced a strong rejection after reaching yesterday’s high at $1,935. The metal is trading at $1,924 at the time of writing.

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Gold turned to the downside ahead of last night’s FOMC Meeting Minutes. The US Factory Orders reported a 0.3% growth versus 0.7% growth in the previous reporting period, while Wards’ Total Vehicle Sales were reported at 15.7M, beating the 15.3M forecasted.

Today, the US is to release high-impact data, so the fundamentals should drive the rate. The ADP Non-Farm Employment Change could be reported at 226K versus 278K in the previous reporting period.

Furthermore, the Unemployment Claims could jump to 247K the previous week. ISM Services PMI is expected to increase from 50.3 points to 51.3 points, while JOLTS Job Openings may drop from 10.10M to 9.93M. Poor US data could help the yellow metal to develop a new bullish movement.

The US will release the Non-Farm Employment Change, Unemployment Rate, and Average Hourly Earnings tomorrow. The economic figures should bring high action and sharp movements.

Gold price technical analysis: Strong support at $1,915

Gold price
Gold price hourly chart

The XAU/USD escaped from the up channel indicating exhausted buyers. The price found support on the weekly pivot point of $1,915, and it tries to push higher.

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As long as it stays above this level, the yellow metal could develop a new bullish movement. The median line (ML) of the descending pitchfork represents dynamic support.

Escaping from the major Falling Wedge triggered a higher potential swing. After its strong growth, a minor retreat or accumulation was probable. The price could retest the near-term support levels before jumping higher.

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Olimpiu Tuns

Olimpiu Tuns

Olimpiu Tuns graduated with a Master in Business Administration and is a seasoned Market Analyst / Trader / Trainer with 10 years of experience in the financial markets having expertise in Forex, Commodities, Index, Cryptocurrencies, and Stocks. He worked as a Market Analyst for three major brokerage companies, as a prop trader, and as a contributor/content creator for news portals and educational platforms.