Home Gold Price Playing in Rising Wedge, Focus on FOMC

Gold Price Playing in Rising Wedge, Focus on FOMC

  • The FOMC should be decisive today.
  • The XAU/USD could jump higher if it stays above $1,977.
  • A new lower low activates more declines.

The gold price turned to the downside in the short term, but a more extensive correction is far from being confirmed. The metal is trading at $1,983, far below yesterday’s high of $2,007.

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The yellow metal dropped to $1,975 today, where it found a slight demand again.

The Bank of Japan left the policy rate unchanged in yesterday’s trading session. Still, the US economic data changed sentiment in the short term.

Gold crashed after the US Employment Cost Index, HPI, S&P/CS Composite-20 HPI, and CB Consumer Confidence came in better than expected.

Today, the US economic data should have a significant impact again. The ADP Non-Farm Employment Change is expected at 149K in October versus 89K in September.

ISM Manufacturing PMI could remain at 49.0 points. At the same time, JOLTS Job Openings could drop from 9.61M to 9.34 M.

Furthermore, the ISM Manufacturing Prices, Construction Spending, Final Manufacturing PMI, and Wards Total Vehicle Sales data will also be released. However, the FOMC represents the most important event of the week.

The FED is expected to keep its monetary policy today, but the FOMC Press Conference and FOMC Statement should bring aggressive movements.

Gold Price Technical Analysis: $1,977 Key Support

Gold price
Gold price hourly chart

Technically, the price found strong resistance at $2,009, then turned to the downside. The metal has formed a rising wedge pattern.

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XAU/USD dropped below the uptrend line and has now found temporary demand on the $1,977 former low. The yellow metal could return higher if it stays above it. The weekly pivot point of $1,989 and the broken uptrend line represent upside obstacles.

Taking out the $1,977 and making a new lower low activates more declines and activates the Rising Wedge formation.

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Olimpiu Tuns

Olimpiu Tuns

Olimpiu Tuns graduated with a Master in Business Administration and is a seasoned Market Analyst / Trader / Trainer with 10 years of experience in the financial markets having expertise in Forex, Commodities, Index, Cryptocurrencies, and Stocks. He worked as a Market Analyst for three major brokerage companies, as a prop trader, and as a contributor/content creator for news portals and educational platforms.