CAD: Rich Now, But Still Getting Richer; Where To Target? – CIBC


What is the forecast for USD/CAD  by mid-year and by year-end?

Here is their view, courtesy of eFXdata:

CIBC Research discusses CAD outlook and targets USD/CAD at 1.24 by mid-year and at 1.27 by year-end.

“Given higher levels of crude than previously assumed, and the persistence in the CAD’s correlation with movements in the broader USD index, we now see scope for an appreciation in the C$ over the next few months, with USDCAD expected to sit near 1.24 at midyear, and likely testing even lower levels in the interim,” CIBC notes.

“Simply put, momentum trading and enthusiasm for commodities currencies could swamp longer-term fundamentals, including a chronic trade deficit, that suggest that the C$ is already too rich for the economy’s blood,” CIBC adds.

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Kenny Fisher - Senior Writer A native of Toronto, Canada, Kenneth worked for seven years in the marketing and trading departments at Bendix, a foreign exchange company in Toronto. Kenneth is also a lawyer, and has extensive experience as an editor and writer.

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