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EUR/USD confluences point to the downside ahead of the jobs report

EUR/USD  is trading in a narrow range above 1.1200 as markets await the all-important US Non-Farm Payrolls. What’s next? The world’s most-popular currency pair has more room to the downside.

The  Technical Confluences Indicator  shows that resistance awaits EUR/UDS at  1.1244  which is the confluence of the Fibonacci 23.6%, the Simple Moving Average 200-1h, and the Fibonacci 23.6% one-month.

It then faces fierce resistance at  1.1285, which is the confluence of the Fibonacci 38.2% one-month, the Bollinger Band one-day Middle, the Fibonacci 61.8% one-week, the SMA 100-4h, and the Pivot Point one-day Resistance 3.

Looking down, some support awaits around the 2019 trough of  1.1176  where a cluster including the PP 1w-S1, the PP 1d-S2, the BB 4h-Lower, and others offer a cushion to the pair.

Further down, support lines are few and far between. The next considerable cushion at  1.1115  where the Pivot Point one-month awaits EUR/USD.

All in all, the path of least resistance is down.

Here is how it looks on the tool:

EUR USD technical confluence April 5 2019

Confluence Detector

The Confluence Detector finds  exciting opportunities using Technical Confluences.  The TC is a tool to locate and point out those price levels where there is a  congestion of indicators,  moving averages,  Fibonacci levels, Pivot Points, etc. Knowing where these congestion points are located is very useful for the trader, and can be used as a basis for different strategies.

This tool assigns a certain amount of “weight” to each indicator, and this “weight” can influence  adjacents  price levels. These weightings mean that one  price level without any indicator  or moving average but under the influence of two “strongly weighted” levels accumulate more resistance than their neighbors. In these cases, the tool signals resistance in apparently empty areas.

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam: Founder, Writer and Editor I have been into forex trading for over 5 years, and I share the experience that I have and the knowledge that I've accumulated. After taking a short course about forex. Like many forex traders, I've earned a significant share of my knowledge the hard way. Macroeconomics, the impact of news on the ever-moving currency markets and trading psychology have always fascinated me. Before founding Forex Crunch, I've worked as a programmer in various hi-tech companies. I have a B. Sc. in Computer Science from Ben Gurion University. Given this background, forex software has a relatively bigger share in the posts.