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EUR/USD: Expecting A Retest Of Post-Crisis Lows At 1.04 Coming Months – ANZ

The coronavirus has now spread to Europe. How does this affect the EUR/USD outlook?

Here is their view, courtesy of eFXdata:

ANZ Research discusses EUR/USD outlook and  sees a scope for retesting 1.04 in the medium-term.  

We have downgraded our 2020 GDP forecasts for the euro area  as COVID-19 related disruption will delay the anticipated recovery in global trade and Europe’s manufacturing sector. We now expect GDP to rise by 0.9% vs 1.1%,” ANZ notes.

“The euro has reached our pre-coronavirus Q1 target of 1.08 vs USD. Severely limited reflationary policy room leaves the risks to the single currency skewed to the downside.  A re-test of the post-crisis lows at 1.04 is expected,” ANZ adds.

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Kenny Fisher

Kenny Fisher

Kenny Fisher - Senior Writer A native of Toronto, Canada, Kenneth worked for seven years in the marketing and trading departments at Bendix, a foreign exchange company in Toronto. Kenneth is also a lawyer, and has extensive experience as an editor and writer.