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EUR/USD: Is the only way up on NFP day?

The  EUR/USD  took baby  steps but made its way to the upside, looking hesitant ahead of the all-important US Non-Farm Payrolls. Where next? It may be easier to extend its gains than fall back.

The  Technical Confluences Indicator  shows that the pair has significant support at  1.1680  which is the congestion of the Bolinger Band 1h-Lower, the Fibonacci 61.8% one-day, the Simple Moving Average 10-4h, the BB 15m-Lower, the Simple Moving Average 200-4h, the SMA 200-15m, the SM 50-1h, and the Fibonacci 23.6% one-week.

Should the pair breach this level of support, the next cushion is quite close, around  1.1645  which is the convergence of the Simple Moving Average 10-one-day, the Fibonacci 38.2% one-week, the one-day high, the Fibonacci 38.2% one-month, the SMA 200-1h, and the SMA 50-4h.

Further below,  1.1603  is another minor line which is the meeting point of the Fibonacci 61.8% one-week and the Fibonacci 161.8% one-day.

On the upside,  1.1725  is the confluence of the Fibonacci 61.8% one-month and the Pivot Point one-day Resistance 1, and it is not as strong as the support lines mentioned earlier.

Higher above,  1.1760  is the meeting point of the Simple Moving Average 50-one-day, the Pivot Point one-day Resistance 2, and the Pivot Point one-week Resistance 1.

Even higher,  1.1791  is the convergence of the Pivot Point one-day Resistance 3 and the Bolinger Band one-day Upper.

Here is how it looks on the tool:

Confluence Detector

The Confluence Detector finds  exciting opportunities using Technical Confluences.  The TC is a tool to locate and point out those price levels where there is a  congestion of indicators,  moving averages,  Fibonacci levels, Pivot Points, etc. Knowing where these congestion points are located is very useful for the trader, and can be used as a basis for different strategies.

This tool assigns a certain amount of “weight” to each indicator, and this “weight” can influence  adjacents  price levels. These weightings mean that one  price level without any indicator  or moving average but under the influence of two “strongly weighted” levels accumulate more resistance than their neighbors. In these cases, the tool signals resistance in apparently empty areas.

Learn more about Technical Confluence

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam: Founder, Writer and Editor I have been into forex trading for over 5 years, and I share the experience that I have and the knowledge that I've accumulated. After taking a short course about forex. Like many forex traders, I've earned a significant share of my knowledge the hard way. Macroeconomics, the impact of news on the ever-moving currency markets and trading psychology have always fascinated me. Before founding Forex Crunch, I've worked as a programmer in various hi-tech companies. I have a B. Sc. in Computer Science from Ben Gurion University. Given this background, forex software has a relatively bigger share in the posts.