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EUR/USD may find it easier to fall than to rise around the NFP

The EUR/USD is trading in a tense range as a turbulent week draws to a close and the US Non-Farm Payrolls report is eyed. The pair might find it easier to fall.

The  Technical Confluences Indicator  shows that the pair faces an immediate dense cluster of resistance at  1.1695. The long list of technical lines includes the Simple Moving Average 5-15m, the SMA 100-15m, the SMA 50-15m, the SMA 10-1h, the SMA 5-4h, the Fibonacci 23.6% one-week and the Fibonacci 38.2% one-day.

Should the pair move higher, the next convergence of resistance lines is close. The  1.1736  is the confluence of the Fibonacci 38.2% one-month, the Pivot Point one-day Resistance 1, and the one-day high. An even stronger line awaits at  1.1772  which is the congestion of the Simple Moving Average 100-4h, the Pivot Point one-day Resistance 2, the Pivot Point one-way Resistance 1, and the Fibonacci 61.8% one-week.

On the downside, the pair may find support at  1.1650  which is the confluence of the Fibonacci 23.6% one-month, the Pivot Point one-day Support 1, the Simple Moving Average 100-1h, the SMA 5-1d. A weaker cluster of support awaits at  1.1590  which is the Pivot Point one-week Support 1 and the Fibonacci 161.8% one-day.

Here is how it looks on the tool:

EUR USD June 2018 technical analysis confluence levels

Confluence Detector

The Confluence Detector finds  exciting opportunities using Technical Confluences.  The TC is a tool to locate and point out those price levels where there is a  congestion of indicators,  moving averages, Fibonacci levels, Pivot Points, etc. Knowing where these congestion points are located is very useful for the trader, and can be used as a basis for different strategies.

This tool assigns a certain amount of “weight” to each indicator, and this “weight” can influence  adjacents  price levels. These weightings mean that one  price level without any indicator  or moving average but under the influence of two “strongly weighted” levels accumulate more resistance than their neighbors. In these cases, the tool signals resistance in apparently empty areas.

Learn more about Technical Confluence

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam: Founder, Writer and Editor I have been into forex trading for over 5 years, and I share the experience that I have and the knowledge that I've accumulated. After taking a short course about forex. Like many forex traders, I've earned a significant share of my knowledge the hard way. Macroeconomics, the impact of news on the ever-moving currency markets and trading psychology have always fascinated me. Before founding Forex Crunch, I've worked as a programmer in various hi-tech companies. I have a B. Sc. in Computer Science from Ben Gurion University. Given this background, forex software has a relatively bigger share in the posts.