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EUR/USD path of least resistance is up ahead of the Draghi show

EUR/USD  is trading in the same old range as tension mounts towards the all-important ECB decision. Will Draghi drag down the Euro or will he prop it up?

The  Technical Confluences Indicator  shows that euro/dollar enjoys robust support at around  1.1364  where we see a dense cluster including the Simple Moving Average100-4h, the SMA 10-one-day, the Fibonacci 38.2% one-day, the SMA 200-1h, the SMA 5-4h, the SMA 50-4h, the Bollinger Band 15-minutes Lower, and the BB one-day Middle.

Further support is close by, at  1.1340  where we see the Fibonacci 61.8% one-day, the SMA 10-4h, and the Bollinger Band 1h-Lower all converge.

Looking up, the road to  1.1400  is dotted with quite a few levels of resistance including yesterday’s high, the Fibonacci 38.2% one-month, the Fibonacci 38.2% one-week, and the Fibonacci 23.6% one-week. However, these caps are scattered out and not as potent as the support levels.

In case the pair runs higher,  1.1435  is an initial target including the BB 4h-Upper, the Fibonacci 23.6% one-month, and last week’s high.

Here is how it looks on the tool:

EUR USD technical analysis confluence December 13 2018

Confluence Detector

The Confluence Detector finds  exciting opportunities using Technical Confluences.  The TC is a tool to locate and point out those price levels where there is a  congestion of indicators,  moving averages,  Fibonacci levels, Pivot Points, etc. Knowing where these congestion points are located is very useful for the trader, and can be used as a basis for different strategies.

This tool assigns a certain amount of “weight” to each indicator, and this “weight” can influence  adjacents  price levels. These weightings mean that one  price level without any indicator  or moving average but under the influence of two “strongly weighted” levels accumulate more resistance than their neighbors. In these cases, the tool signals resistance in apparently empty areas.

Learn more about Technical Confluence

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam: Founder, Writer and Editor I have been into forex trading for over 5 years, and I share the experience that I have and the knowledge that I've accumulated. After taking a short course about forex. Like many forex traders, I've earned a significant share of my knowledge the hard way. Macroeconomics, the impact of news on the ever-moving currency markets and trading psychology have always fascinated me. Before founding Forex Crunch, I've worked as a programmer in various hi-tech companies. I have a B. Sc. in Computer Science from Ben Gurion University. Given this background, forex software has a relatively bigger share in the posts.