Home EUR/USD suffers from Lagarde and looks for new lows
Daily Look

EUR/USD suffers from Lagarde and looks for new lows

EUR/USD  has been under pressure below 1.1300 and may have a hard time recapturing this level. Markets are digesting the nomination of IMF MD Christine Lagarde to lead the European Central Bank – and she may extend the dovish stance of incumbent Mario Draghi. What technical levels should we watch?

The  Technical Confluences Indicator  shows that EUR/USD faces an area of resistance starting from  1.1296 and culminating at 1.1319. It is a dense cluster of lines including the Pivot Point one-day Resistance 1, the Fibonacci 38.2% one-month, the Simple Moving Average 100-4h, the Fibonacci 23.6% one-day, the Fibonacci 38.2% one-day, the Bollinger Band one-hour Upper, the PP one-week S2, the SMA 50-1h, the BB 1d-Middle, the SMA 10-4h, the Fibonacci 61.8% one-day, and more lines.

If the world’s most-popular currency pair exceeds this level, some resistance awaits at  1.1343  where we see the convergence of the SMA 5-1d, the SMA 200-1d, and the PP 1d-R2.

Looking down, weak support awaits at  1.1250  where we note the confluence of SMA 200-4h and the Fibonacci 61.8% one-month.

Further down, even weaker support awaits at  1.1219  where the Pivot Point one-month S1 meets the SMA 50-1d.

Here is how it looks on the tool:

EUR USD confluence analysis July 3 2019

Confluence Detector

The Confluence Detector finds  exciting opportunities using Technical Confluences.  The TC is a tool to locate and point out those price levels where there is a  congestion of indicators,  moving averages,  Fibonacci levels, Pivot Points, etc. Knowing where these congestion points are located is very useful for the trader, and can be used as a basis for different strategies.

This tool assigns a certain amount of “weight” to each indicator, and this “weight” can influence  adjacents  price levels. These weightings mean that one  price level without any indicator  or moving average but under the influence of two “strongly weighted” levels accumulate more resistance than their neighbors. In these cases, the tool signals resistance in apparently empty areas.

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam: Founder, Writer and Editor I have been into forex trading for over 5 years, and I share the experience that I have and the knowledge that I've accumulated. After taking a short course about forex. Like many forex traders, I've earned a significant share of my knowledge the hard way. Macroeconomics, the impact of news on the ever-moving currency markets and trading psychology have always fascinated me. Before founding Forex Crunch, I've worked as a programmer in various hi-tech companies. I have a B. Sc. in Computer Science from Ben Gurion University. Given this background, forex software has a relatively bigger share in the posts.