EUR/USD Most Vulnerable Pair Ahead of Bernanke, FOMC Minutes

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Most currencies have fallen against the dollar towards the testimony of Ben Bernanke in Washington and the release of the recent FOMC meeting minutes.

Some had good reasons to fall and some didn’t have specific ones. The euro stood out by rising ahead of the Fed-fest, but it certainly has no reasons to rise. Will the euro “sell the fact”?

Update 14:25 GMT: Ben Bernanke offered no hint of tapering in the prepared statement. This sent EUR/USD as high as 1.2997. However, the limited rally didn’t last too long: EUR/USD is now back to 1.2945, the level seen before the testimony was released.

Update 14:30 GMT: When asked about an exit strategy, Bernanke did respond, and the greenback reacted with a comeback. EUR/USD is down to 1.2920.

Update 14:50 GMT: EUR/USD touched a low of 1.2890 so far before rebounding. All in all, EUR/USD is lower after Bernanke.

The economic situation in the euro-zone remains weak, including in Germany. No big data releases have been made in Europe.

If the markets are pricing in no hint of tapering from Bernanke, why are other currencies remaining weak against the dollar? Why is the euro standing out?

EUR/USD rose from 1.29 and stalled under support at 1.2960. Further resistance is at 1.30. Support stands at 1.2880.

The most probable scenario for Bernanke is that he says nothing new. Is the euro going to fall even if Bernanke says nothing at all? What do you think?

Further reading: Forex Analysis: EUR/USD Leaning towards Bearish Trend Resumption

Here is a live chart of EUR/USD, showing the recent rise.




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Yohay Elam – Founder, Writer and Editor I have been into forex trading for over 5 years, and I share the experience that I have and the knowledge that I’ve accumulated. After taking a short course about forex. Like many forex traders, I’ve earned a significant share of my knowledge the hard way. Macroeconomics, the impact of news on the ever-moving currency markets and trading psychology have always fascinated me. Before founding Forex Crunch, I’ve worked as a programmer in various hi-tech companies. I have a B. Sc. in Computer Science from Ben Gurion University. Given this background, forex software has a relatively bigger share in the posts.

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