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EUR/USD slips ahead of Draghi’s testimony

ECB Mario Draghi will take the stage at Brussels, testifying before the European Parliament. His public appearance comes as euro-zone  data has certainly been on the mend.

Inflation, the ECB’s “single needle in the compass”, or only mandate, has climbed up to 1.8%. This is not only stronger than economists had anticipated, but also matches the aim of the Bank: inflation at, or a bit below, 2%.

In the latest rate decision, Draghi dismissed the rise in inflation. He pointed to the fact that the rise in prices was totally expected given the bounce back in oil prices. The “transitory effect” has not reached core inflation, which stands at 0.9% also in January.

Will Draghi continue sticking to his dovish guns, talking about core inflation? Or will he be forced to discuss his mandate?

Other figures also provided reasons for optimism. growth came out at 0.5% q/q in Q4, better than  projected and an acceleration from  previous quarters in 2016. The unemployment rate dropped to 9.6%, also exceeding estimates, albeit still quite high.

EUR/USD slipping

EUR/USD is trading lower, at 1.0734, down some 50 pips. A quick look at other currency pairs  shows far more stability. This  is not a dollar correction but rather euro weakness.

Support  awaits at 1.0710, followed by 1.0650. Resistance is at 1.0830 and 1.0870.

Will Draghi push the euro lower? Or are his dovish words already priced in? We will learn at 14:00 GMT, when he  reads out his prepared statement. This is followed by a lengthy Q&A session.

And what about the dollar? Trump’s  fiery first days in the White House ran into legal obstacles over the weekend, as the courts overturned his Muslim Ban. The ongoing focus on immigration and not on fiscal stimulus weighs on the greenback.

Here is the euro/dollar chart:

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam: Founder, Writer and Editor I have been into forex trading for over 5 years, and I share the experience that I have and the knowledge that I've accumulated. After taking a short course about forex. Like many forex traders, I've earned a significant share of my knowledge the hard way. Macroeconomics, the impact of news on the ever-moving currency markets and trading psychology have always fascinated me. Before founding Forex Crunch, I've worked as a programmer in various hi-tech companies. I have a B. Sc. in Computer Science from Ben Gurion University. Given this background, forex software has a relatively bigger share in the posts.