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Forex Daily Analysis – February 6th 2009

Big day today in forex trading: the monthly circus of Non Farm Payrolls dominates trading today – but it’s not the only important figure.

Price action has been quite wild in the last 24 hours of trading – the British pound, Canadian dollar, New Zealand dollar and Australian dollar strengthened against the dollar, while the Euro and the Japanese Yen weakened against the dollar.

Economic figures for today

Manufacturing Production  in Britain fell by 2.2%, worse than expectations, and stopped the rally of GBP/USD. The good PPI Input stabilized it, showing a rise of 1.5%. Also in Britain, some complementary data:  Industrial Production fell by 1.7% and PPI Output rose by 0.1%.

In Europe,  German Industrial Production is expected to fall by 2.4%, less than last month’s dive of 3.1%.

It’s a bid day also in Canada:  Unemployment Rate is expected to rise to 6.8%, and  Employment Change is predicted to fall by  40,000. Watch for some price action on the USD/CAD at 12:00 GMT.

And of course, the big prize of today,  Non-Farm Employment Change or NFP. Similar to last month’s drop of 524,000, it is expected to be at 530,000. I have a feeling, but only a feeling, that it will be better than expected…

The complementary data for NFP is the  Unemployment Rate, fore casted to rise to 7.5% and  Average Hourly Earnings – predicted to rise by 0.2%.

All these figures, will be published at 13:30 GMT. Let the games begin…

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam: Founder, Writer and Editor I have been into forex trading for over 5 years, and I share the experience that I have and the knowledge that I've accumulated. After taking a short course about forex. Like many forex traders, I've earned a significant share of my knowledge the hard way. Macroeconomics, the impact of news on the ever-moving currency markets and trading psychology have always fascinated me. Before founding Forex Crunch, I've worked as a programmer in various hi-tech companies. I have a B. Sc. in Computer Science from Ben Gurion University. Given this background, forex software has a relatively bigger share in the posts.