Forex Daily Outlook – February 25th 2009


Today’s main event is the Existing Home Sales in the US. British Revised GDP didn’t surprise. Also note Bernanke’s testament. Big price action is seen in the Japanese Yen: USD/JPY is at 97, a price not seen for a long time. Are Carry Trades returning?

The day began with Australian data, which was good. Australia continues to be quite “recession-proof”. Construction Work Done was surprisingly high, rising 1.7% instead of falling by 2% as expected. Also the quarterly Wage Price Index rose more than expected, by 1.2%.

In New Zealand, Inflation Expectations stand at 2.3%, which is in the non-deflation zone.

In Europe, German Final GDP fell by 2.1%, as expected. Italian Retail Sales were unchanged. British Revised GDP declined by 1.5%, almost at expectations of -1.6%.

At 15:00 GMT, American Existing Home Sales will be published, expected to be stable at 4.78 million. Barack Obama has a new plan for aiding people that took loans and mortgages. Will this already have an impact on sentiment that will impact Existing Home Sales? Probably only next month.

At the same time Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke will be testifying in front of the House Financial Services Committee, in Washington DC. Also here, it will be in the shadow of Barack Obama’s speech yesterday about hope for the American economy.

Another speech comes from Scotland today, where External BOE MPC Member David Blanchflower will be talking. His remarks usually have some effect on the pound.

And to close the day, Trade Balance in New Zealand is expected to stand at -410 million. And in Australia, the CB Leading Index is released.

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About Author

Yohay Elam – Founder, Writer and Editor I have been into forex trading for over 5 years, and I share the experience that I have and the knowledge that I’ve accumulated. After taking a short course about forex. Like many forex traders, I’ve earned a significant share of my knowledge the hard way. Macroeconomics, the impact of news on the ever-moving currency markets and trading psychology have always fascinated me. Before founding Forex Crunch, I’ve worked as a programmer in various hi-tech companies. I have a B. Sc. in Computer Science from Ben Gurion University. Given this background, forex software has a relatively bigger share in the posts.

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