Forex Daily Outlook – June 23th 2009
Daily Look

Forex Daily Outlook – June 23th 2009

Economic indicators gear up today with many European PMI figures and American Existing Home Sales. After a strong start for the dollar, tension rises towards Wednesday’s FOMC Statement. The escalation in Iran also supports the greenback.

The Iranian army has vowed to interfere to stop the protests, that haven’t stopped. The troubles in this oil rich and nuclear ambitious nation cause fears around the world and this ignites risk aversion behavior. More about the Iran election crisis and forex.

GfK German Consumer Climate starts a day with many indicators in Europe, and it isn’t expected to move from 2.5 points. French Consumer Spending is expected to continue rising, this time by 02.%.

Purchasing Manager’s Index then dominate the European scene.  First Flash Manufacturing PMI and Flash Services PMI are released in France at 8:00 GMT. Half an hour later, the exact same figures are released in Germany. At 8:00 GMT, the all-European PMI figures are released.

All the European PMI figures are predicted to be on the rise, but none are expected to cross the critical 50 points mark, that show an expansion of the economy.

In Britain,  BOE Chief Economist Spencer Dale will speak and might move the markets. The more important event is the BBA Mortgage Approvals. After the Rightmove HPI fell yesterday, this housing figure is predicted to rise from 27.7K to 29.5K.

Fore more on GBP/USD, read the British Pound Outlook.

In Switzerland, Trade Balance is expected to show a shrinking surplus of 1.86 billion. The Swissy is mostly moved by the greenback’s moves these days.

In Canada, BOC Governor Mark Carney will speak today. USD/CAD crossed the critical 1.1470 line, and Carney probably won’t help the Canadian dollar to retrace. For more about this North American pair, check out the Canadian Dollar Outlook.

Existing Home Sales are published at 14:00 GMT. This important indicator is expected to advance from 4.68 to 4.82 million houses. A good result will strengthen the notion that a recovery is real.

American HPI is predicted to fall by 0.3%. The Richmond Manufacturing Index is expected to rise from 4 to 5 points.

In the evening, President Barack Obama will hold a press conference and will most probably speak about the economy.

Just before the end of the day, Japanese Trade Balance is expected to return to surplus, after recording a deficit last month.

That’s it. Happy forex trading.

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam: Founder, Writer and Editor I have been into forex trading for over 5 years, and I share the experience that I have and the knowledge that I've accumulated. After taking a short course about forex. Like many forex traders, I've earned a significant share of my knowledge the hard way. Macroeconomics, the impact of news on the ever-moving currency markets and trading psychology have always fascinated me. Before founding Forex Crunch, I've worked as a programmer in various hi-tech companies. I have a B. Sc. in Computer Science from Ben Gurion University. Given this background, forex software has a relatively bigger share in the posts.