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Gold: Valuation Model Points To Gold At $2100/oz Next Year On These 3 Assumptions – ANZ

What is the outlook for gold in 2021?

Here is their view, courtesy of eFXdata:

ANZ Research discusses its outlook for Gold over the coming year.

Our gold valuation model suggests gold should trade around USD2,100/oz next year, assuming:  

US inflation rises to 1.7%,  

USD index falls to 90, and

yields on 30y bonds hold steady around 1.6%,” ANZ notes.

“That said, we acknowledge headwinds in the short term. The continued strength in equity markets is likely to see further investor rotation out of gold-backed ETFs and into equities (predominately traditional growth sectors).  We have subsequently cut our 0-3m target to USD1900/oz. However, we maintain our 12m target of USD2,100/oz,” ANZ adds.

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Kenny Fisher

Kenny Fisher

Kenny Fisher - Senior Writer A native of Toronto, Canada, Kenneth worked for seven years in the marketing and trading departments at Bendix, a foreign exchange company in Toronto. Kenneth is also a lawyer, and has extensive experience as an editor and writer.