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Trump Still Moves Markets But For How Long?; We Stick

The US dollar made an attempt for a comeback, but the gains were somewhat constrained. What’s next?

Here is their view, courtesy of eFXnews:

Much rests on: a)  what Donald Trump’s dollar policy will be;  b)  how soon and what the size of the fiscal package will be and  c)  how protectionist America could become.

This week has been a tale of two halves. The USD was consolidating towards a low range, before rallying on Thursday with Trump stating that he is releasing something ‘phenomenal in terms of tax’ in the next 2 to 3 weeks.

Moreover, we continue to believe that the Trump budget plan, which we expect to be released before the President speaks to Congress at the end of this month, may have an important impact on our outlook for fiscal policy and the economy over the next year.

So the small rally in the USD this week makes sense thus far,  but the market may be disappointed if Trump fails to deliver; we stick to our weak USD view.

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Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam: Founder, Writer and Editor I have been into forex trading for over 5 years, and I share the experience that I have and the knowledge that I've accumulated. After taking a short course about forex. Like many forex traders, I've earned a significant share of my knowledge the hard way. Macroeconomics, the impact of news on the ever-moving currency markets and trading psychology have always fascinated me. Before founding Forex Crunch, I've worked as a programmer in various hi-tech companies. I have a B. Sc. in Computer Science from Ben Gurion University. Given this background, forex software has a relatively bigger share in the posts.