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US housing jumps – USD unexcited – more falls to come?

Housing starts are up 8.3% to 1.215 million and building permits rise 7.4% to 1.254 million annualized. Both figures are ahead of expectations. The previous figure for housing starts was revised up to 1.122 million. It’s all good.

The dollar is not really taking advantage of this. Is this a bearish sign for USD bulls? A currency that cannot take advantage of good data basically tells us it is weak. However, these are not top-tier figures like retail sales and inflation data that we got on Friday.

The US was expected to report a rise in housing starts to 1.155 in June from 1.092 in May. Building  permits were also projected to advance from 1.168 to 1.2 million annualized. There is a correlation between housing and the wider economy, but the figures can often offset each other.

Currency markets were relatively stable after the big US dollar sell-off yesterday, inspired by the failure of Trumpcare.

Tomorrow we have two rate decisions, first from the BOJ and then from the ECB.

Preview: Will Draghi drag the euro down?

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam: Founder, Writer and Editor I have been into forex trading for over 5 years, and I share the experience that I have and the knowledge that I've accumulated. After taking a short course about forex. Like many forex traders, I've earned a significant share of my knowledge the hard way. Macroeconomics, the impact of news on the ever-moving currency markets and trading psychology have always fascinated me. Before founding Forex Crunch, I've worked as a programmer in various hi-tech companies. I have a B. Sc. in Computer Science from Ben Gurion University. Given this background, forex software has a relatively bigger share in the posts.