What’s Next For USD, EUR, GBP? – BofA Merrill


The Federal Reserve said its word, and it was a dovish hike. What’s next?

Here is their view, courtesy of eFXnews:

USD bulls were left feeling somewhat deflated following this week’s Fed policy decision as the FOMC delivered a hike but with little change to the projections and a cautious tone from Chair Yellen, notes Bank of America Merrill Lynch Research. 

As such, BofAML argues that with the March hike now duly delivered, and market pricing broadly in line with the dots, the trigger formeaningfully higher USD will have to come from the fiscal side.

Turning to Europe, BofAML thinks that political risks remain a key near-term downside risk for EUR, but absent a Le Pen victory in the coming French elections, medium-term EUR risks are tilted to the upside.

Finally, on the GBP front, BofAML believes that the initial stages of the Brexit negotiations will dominate GBP sentiment in the coming weeks on Article 50 triggering which should see sterling moves back towards 1.20. 

For lots more FX trades from major banks, sign up to eFXplus

By signing up to eFXplus via the link above, you are directly supporting Forex Crunch.

Get the 5 most predictable currency pairs

About Author

Yohay Elam – Founder, Writer and Editor I have been into forex trading for over 5 years, and I share the experience that I have and the knowledge that I’ve accumulated. After taking a short course about forex. Like many forex traders, I’ve earned the significant share of my knowledge the hard way. Macroeconomics, the impact of news on the ever-moving currency markets and trading psychology have always fascinated me. Before founding Forex Crunch, I’ve worked as a programmer in various hi-tech companies. I have a B. Sc. in Computer Science from Ben Gurion University. Given this background, forex software has a relatively bigger share in the posts.

Comments are closed.