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  • The on-chain metrics shows that investors have been moving stableoins to exchanges after the BTC sell-off.
  • The trend implies that traders are waiting for the right moment to start buying.

According to the recent on-chain metrics, the large cryptocurrency investors, also known as whales, may be ready to buy the dip after the recent BTC sell-off below $10,000. In particular, the growing inflows of stablecoins to top cryptocurrency exchanges may signal that people looking into buying opportunities as BTC is hovering around the critical support area of $10,000. 

While people still can buy other assets with their stablecoins, there is a relationship between Bitcoin’s price movements and the exchange flows. Let’s have a closer look at what stablecoins have been flowing into the exchanges and what it means for Bitcoin.

How it works

Stabelcoin is a cryptocurrency pegged to fiat money like US Dollar or Euro, or other physical assets, like gold or platinum. They have the relative stability of traditional currencies and usability of digital coins, making them a perfect instrument for buying and sending digital assets. Many people tend to hold some stablecoins to be able to react quickly to the changing cryptocurrency market environment and tweak their crypto portfolio by adding buying more coins at a favorable price. 

Thus when investors start moving their stablecoins to cryptocurrency exchange wallets, the chances are that they want to add more coins to their crypto portfolios. 

What’s going on

After BTC price recovered to $10,500 after the drop below $10,000 on September 4, an inflow of all major stablecoins to the cryptocurrency exchanges spiked and stayed elevated ever since. ERC-20 Tether to known centralized exchange wallets jumped to $130 million from the recent $30 million on average. Notably, at the same time, the collective balances of the addresses with 10k-100k USDT shrank by 84.8 million coins, which is another indirect confirmation of large cryptocurrency investors getting ready for a move.

Tether inflows to the cryptocurrency wallets

Source: Santiment

The same trend applies to the second largest stablecoin by market cap, USDC. As shown below, holders moved over 1 billion USDC exchange wallets over the past three days, with the most significant spike registered on Monday, September 7. 

USD Coin inflows to the cryptocurrency wallets

Source: Santiment

DAI, BUSD, and Gemini register a similar trend with the sharp inflows starting from September 4. This upcoming buy-on-dip theory is confirmed by the CryptoQuant potential BUY/SELL indicator. As we have discussed, the ratio of the amount of BTC held on the exchanges and the number of stablecoins implies that the market is in good shape for a strong rally from the current levels. 

When moon?

The inflow of stabelcoins to the cryptocurrency exchanges after Bitcoin dived under $10,000 may indicate that the crypto whales are getting ready to buy the dip. If USDT and USDC holders continue funneling millions of dollars in digital assets to the trading platforms, the buying pressure will intensify and eventually lead to a sharp rally above the local resistance levels of $11,000 and $12,000. This development may inspire more confidence among long-term and retail investors and created an intense recovery momentum. 

BTC/USD daily chart

To conclude: the stablecoin reserves on the exchanges may serve as a leading indicator of BTC price movements, provided that it is confirmed by other metrics, including technical and fundamental factors. At the time of writing, BTC/USD is drifting to a lower boundary of the recent consolidation channel of $10,000-$9,800. This support has been verified on numerous occasions since the beginning of September and potentially attracted new large buyers. The coin may stay sidelined while the whales accumulate stablecoins on the exchange accounts. A sustainable move above $10,500 may serve as a trigger to send the price above $12,000 and to new highs of 2020.