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Sky News voting day poll by YouGov shows 52% Remain, 48% Leave. It is a large sample  of 5000 voters. This more or less confirms the most recent polls. Nigel  Farage seems to have accepted a loss but IDS says it’s still to close to call.

Extreme  volatility follows, with GBP/USD making an attempt on 1.50 without a breakout. EUR/USD went above resistance at 1.1410  but retreats.  

Update:  UK leaves the EU – it is official – expect more crashes

Update:  GBP/USD > 1.50 on Sun concession, new poll

Voting has ended  in the UK after a long and tense day in which markets did not sleep at all. These are opinion polls held on the day of the vote, asking previous interviewees  what they voted. These are NOT  massive exit polls that we usually have on regular elections.

An hour before voting ended we had a jump in the pound – it may have been related to reports of a high turnout in Scotland, a place where Remain can gain, and also perhaps on rumors related to those elusive hedge funds polls. They may or may not exist.

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Real results are expected to begin flowing at around 23:00-23:30 GMT.