The number of unemployed Brits fell dramatically – this unexpected improvement sent the Pound higher, sent the Pound above a major resistance line. Will this hold? A big test for GBP/USD – it could mark a long term turnaround. Claimant Count Change is the earliest and most important employment indicator in Britain. It reflects the number of unemployed people in the UK. After two months of drops, last month’s figure showed a big rise of 23,500 in the number of unemployed people. So, the first surprise for today was that last month’s number was revised to a rise of only 5,300. This is far better. And the big surprise is with the fresh figures: A drop of 32,300 people was reported in February. This is the biggest drop in unemployment since 1997, and a huge surprise. The unemployment rate (for January) remained unchanged at 7.8%, as expected. GBP/USD leaps The British Pound already enjoyed the US dollar’s weakness to rise above 1.5220. As aforementioned, the big hurdle was 1.5350. And this line was just broken! GBP/USD now trades at 1.5360. It’s important to stress that this move needs to be confirmed. A breach of 10 pips is still limited, and it’s too early. We’ll see how the Pound trades through the New York session, which opens earlier due to early DST. If this break is confirmed, it’s a significant move for GBP/USD. 1.5350 was an important support and resistance line in the past, and also held the Pound back in mid-February. After this line was broken to the downside, GBP/USD collapsed very quickly down to 1.4780. Long term change? These great and very surprising employment figures could mean a full recovery, and a shift in the long-term bearish trend. The next line of resistance is 1.5520, a place where the Pound struggled before falling down. Higher, 1.5833 is a major resistance line that limited the pair’s attempts to rise. It also served as a support line beforehand. If the break isn’t confirmed, 1.5220 serves as initial support, followed by 1.4870 and then 1.4770. Also note the round number of 1.50, but in the recent days it hasn’t been a significant line. No New QE At the same time, the meeting minutes from the last rate decision were released. The meeting minutes showed that all 9 members of the MPC voted to leave the Quantitative Easing program unchanged at 200 billion pounds. The money already ran out of this program, that spills pounds into the markets, and hurts the Pound. Mervyn King didn’t rule out injecting fresh money into the program, but time passes by and this doesn’t happen. This recovery in jobs makes the chance of this happening very slim. I’ll keep following the moves of Pound. Want to see what other traders are doing in real accounts? Check out Currensee. It’s free. Yohay Elam Yohay Elam Yohay Elam: Founder, Writer and Editor I have been into forex trading for over 5 years, and I share the experience that I have and the knowledge that I've accumulated. After taking a short course about forex. Like many forex traders, I've earned a significant share of my knowledge the hard way. Macroeconomics, the impact of news on the ever-moving currency markets and trading psychology have always fascinated me. Before founding Forex Crunch, I've worked as a programmer in various hi-tech companies. I have a B. Sc. in Computer Science from Ben Gurion University. Given this background, forex software has a relatively bigger share in the posts. Yohay's Google Profile View All Post By Yohay Elam Expert score 5 Etoro - Best For Beginner & Experts0% Commission and No stamp DutyRegulated by US,UK & International StockCopy Successfull Traders 5 Read Review Open My Free Account Your capital is at risk. Forex NewsOpinions share Read Next Forex Daily Outlook – March 18th 2010 Yohay Elam 12 years The number of unemployed Brits fell dramatically - this unexpected improvement sent the Pound higher, sent the Pound above a major resistance line. Will this hold? A big test for GBP/USD - it could mark a long term turnaround. Claimant Count Change is the earliest and most important employment indicator in Britain. It reflects the number of unemployed people in the UK. After two months of drops, last month's figure showed a big rise of 23,500 in the number of unemployed people. So, the first surprise for today was that last month's number was revised to a rise of only… Top Forex Brokers All Brokers Sponsored Brokers Broker Benefits Min Deposit Score Visit Broker 1 $100T&Cs Apply 0% Commission and No stamp DutyRegulated by US,UK & International StockCopy Successfull Traders 9.8 Visit Site FreeBets Reviews$100Your capital is at risk.2 T&Cs Apply 9.8 Visit Site FreeBets Reviews$100Your capital is at risk.3 Recommended Broker $100T&Cs Apply No deposit or withdrawal feesTrade major forex pairs such as EUR/USD with leverage up to 30:1 and tight spreads of 0.9 pips Low $100 minimum deposit to open a trading account 9 Visit Site FreeBets ReviewsYour capital is at risk.4 T&Cs Apply Visit Site FreeBets ReviewsYour capital is at risk.5 Recommended Broker $0T&Cs Apply Trade gold, silver, and platinum directly against major currenciesUp to 1:500 leverage for forex trading24/5 customer service by phone and email 9 Visit Site FreeBets ReviewsYour capital is at risk.