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  • UniSwap resumes the uptrend, but stalls under $2.5 as consolidation creeps in.
  • The buying pressure is mainly from the whales holding over 10 million UNI; more upside action is expected.

Uniswap managed to come out of an extended downtrend, following the establishment of support at $2.2. The consistent breakdown affected all the projects in the decentralized finance (DeFi) ecosystem, raising questions of a bubble or the lack of sustainability. Meanwhile, Uniswap appears to be waking up in tandem with Bitcoin’s majestic price action and other selected large altcoins like Ethereum.

The formation of a descending wedge pattern on the-hour chart towards the end of October brought to light a downward momentum that was losing strength. For this reason, buying orders increased significantly over the weekend, growing the pressure behind the token.

UNI/USD price chart

UNI/USD 4-hour chart

The breakout above the wedge pattern added credence to the momentum, leading to gains past the 100 Simple Moving Average (SMA) and the 50 SMA in the 4-hour timeframe. The bulls eyed the barrier at $2.5, but the moment started to lose steam.

At the time of writing, Uniswap is trading at $2.4 while dealing with the resistance highlighted by the 100 SMA. If this immediate seller congestion zone gets flipped into support, UNI/USD would resume the uptrend and even shift the focus to 200 SMA at $2.6.

UNI/USD price chart

UNI/USD daily chart

The TD Sequential indicator’s buy signal in the form of a red nine candlestick on the daily chart adds weight to the bullish narrative. In other words, the stalling could be a temporary delay ahead of the rally, first to $2.6 and then to $3.0. On the other hand, a leveling Relative Strength Index (RSI) suggests that consolidation will take precedence before the anticipated breakout.

Consequently, Santiment’s holder distribution metric brings to light the earlier mentioned rise in buying pressure. For instance, the number of addresses holding more than 10 million UNI has increased from 16 on October 18 to 19 on November 2.

At first, the rise seems insignificant, but it’s only when the volume moved by these whales is considered that one can appreciate the force created behind Uniswap. Therefore, if the addresses continue growing, Uniswap will eventually sustain the uptrend.

Uniswap holder distribution

Uniswap holder distribution chart

Looking at the other side of the picture

IntoTheBlock’s IOMAP model reveals a challenging resistance zone ahead of UNI. The seller congestion between $2.4 and $2.5 is brought about by the 89 addresses that previously purchased nearly 10.6 million UNI.

Uniswap IOMAP chart

Uniswap IOMAP chart

Rejection from this barrier is likely to send Uniswap to the initial support highlighted from $2.3 to $2.4. Here, 35 addresses previously purchased 4.1 million UNI. Bulls must guard this zone dearly because price action beneath it might send UNI back to the drawing board at $2.2.