Canadian Dollar Strengthens on Relatively Hawkish BOC Statement
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Canadian Dollar Strengthens on Relatively Hawkish BOC Statement

The Bank of Canada didn’t release a very dovish statement, contrary to expectations after Carney’s recent speech. The central bank maintained the 1% overnight rate, as widely expected.

USD/CAD is now falling after getting close to parity.

The BOC mentioned that higher rates might be required later on – continuing the hawkish stance it had over a long period of time. Canada’s stance is different from many other countries, who either have rates close to zero or thinking of more monetary stimulus steps.

USD CAD After Hawkish Rate Decision October 23 2012
USD CAD After Hawkish Rate Decision – Click to enlarge

Here are some snippets from the statement:

Over time, some modest withdrawal of monetary policy stimulus will likely be required

Following the recent period of below-potential growth, the economy is expected to pick up and return to full capacity by the end of 2013.

These challenges include the  persistent strength of the Canadian dollar, which is being influenced by safe haven flows and spillovers from global monetary policy

The BOC may want a weaker Canadian dollar, but its statement actually strengthened the local currency.

Earlier, Canadian retail sales rose by 0.3%, as expected. Core sales rose by 0.4%, exceeding predictions of ¿0.3%.

Parity is an obvious cap, and the pair reached 0.9975 before the announcement. It now trades at 0.9915 – a sharp fall. 0.9880 provides support. For more lines, see the Canadian dollar forecast.

The loonie has been on the retreat in recent weeks, especially after BOC governor Mark Carney skipped some usual hawkish remarks in a recent speech. In addition, Canadian regulators blocked a potential M&A deal that could have helped the C$.

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam: Founder, Writer and Editor I have been into forex trading for over 5 years, and I share the experience that I have and the knowledge that I've accumulated. After taking a short course about forex. Like many forex traders, I've earned a significant share of my knowledge the hard way. Macroeconomics, the impact of news on the ever-moving currency markets and trading psychology have always fascinated me. Before founding Forex Crunch, I've worked as a programmer in various hi-tech companies. I have a B. Sc. in Computer Science from Ben Gurion University. Given this background, forex software has a relatively bigger share in the posts.