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Fed’s favorite inflation measure stuck at 1.3% – will it

The Core PCE Price Index remains at 1.3% as expected. It remains within a significant distance of the 2% target. Inflation remains weak while employment looks good. This has been the same story for quite some time.

Will it matter? Janet Yellen and her colleagues are set to raise rates in December, no matter what. It will probably be Yellen’s last post-rate press conference.

Other figures that were released were quite alright. Personal spending is up 1% against 0.8% expected. Personal income is up 0.4% exactly as predicted. Month over month, core PCE is up 0.1%, as projected as well.

The effect of the hurricanes on the data remains unclear at the moment. The numbers are for September, the month most affected by the hurricanes.

The focus at the moment is not on the data but rather in politics. Trump may certainly be distracted from nominating the next Fed Chair by the surrendering of Manafort.

Trump’s ex-campaign manager Manafort asked to surrender

 

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam: Founder, Writer and Editor I have been into forex trading for over 5 years, and I share the experience that I have and the knowledge that I've accumulated. After taking a short course about forex. Like many forex traders, I've earned a significant share of my knowledge the hard way. Macroeconomics, the impact of news on the ever-moving currency markets and trading psychology have always fascinated me. Before founding Forex Crunch, I've worked as a programmer in various hi-tech companies. I have a B. Sc. in Computer Science from Ben Gurion University. Given this background, forex software has a relatively bigger share in the posts.