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  • The US issued PPI data that provided additional evidence that inflation had peaked.
  • British inflation reached a 41-year high due to rising food and household energy costs.
  • Jeremy Hunt unveiled tax increases and spending reductions to try and fix Britain’s finances.

The GBP/USD weekly forecast is bullish as the Bank of England is bound to raise rates to tame skyrocketing inflation.

Ups and downs of GBP/USD

Last week was packed with important US and UK economic releases. The US issued PPI data that provided additional evidence that inflation had peaked and retail sales data that showed increased consumer spending.

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The UK released inflation and retail sales data. British inflation reached a 41-year high due to rising food and household energy costs. In the year that ended in October, consumer prices increased by 11.1%, which was a significant increase over September’s 10.1% increase and the highest rate since October 1981.

Better-than-expected retail sales for Britain led to a gain in the pound on Friday. This came a day after finance minister Jeremy Hunt unveiled tax increases and spending reductions to convince the markets that the government was serious about combating inflation.

Next week’s key events for GBP/USD

USD/JPY weekly forecast

There won’t be many economic reports next week. Therefore, GBP/USD will be rather quiet. The FOMC meeting minutes will attract more investor attention. They will give a detailed description of the two-week-old policy-setting meeting of the committee and offer clear insights into the FOMC’s position on monetary policy. Therefore, investors will closely examine them for cues on the result of subsequent interest rate decisions.

GBP/USD weekly technical forecast: Set for a pullback

GBP/USD weekly forecast

Looking at the daily chart, we see the price trading above the 22-SMA and the RSI above 50, all signs that bulls are ahead. The price is in a bullish trend as it is consistently making higher highs and higher lows. The most recent high was made at the 1.2007 key resistance level after bulls broke above the previous high at 1.1600.

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The bullish move paused after reaching the 1.2007 resistance level, and the price is trading in a tight consolidation. If bulls are still strong, they might break above the resistance level without a deep pullback. However, if bears come in for a pullback, they might retest the 22-SMA before the price resumes the uptrend.

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