UK Q4 GDP Unrevised at -0.3% – GBP/USD Reverses Gains


According to the second estimate of GDP for Q4, the British economy squeezed by 0.3%. No change was expected to the first release, which showed a contraction of 0.3% in Q4, after only one quarter of growth in Q3.GBP USD Reversing Some Gains on Unrevised Q4 GDP February 27 2013

GBP/USD advanced towards 1.5140 before the publication, recovering from the lows of 1.5080 seen earlier in the day.  After the publication, the pair is sliding back down to 1.5125. Also the business investment figure weighs.

Update: The pair now extends its slide, falling to 1.5108.

The trough of 1.5069, seen after the Moody’s downgrade, provides some support before the all-important 1.50 line. Resistance appears at 1.5220, followed by 1.5270.

For more levels and events, see the British pound forecast.

Business investment for Q4 dropped by 1.2% while it was expected to grow by 2.2% after a leap of 3.8% in Q3. This is the initial release of this indicator. The index of services also fell short of expectations by falling 0.1% instead of rising at the same scale.

The GDP numbers for all of 2012 were revised to 0.2% growth from stagnation reported initially. This is thanks to an upwards revision of Q1 and Q3. However, Q4 was not revised. This annual figure caused confusion in the initial reporting of the revision to Q4 growth.

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Yohay Elam – Founder, Writer and Editor I have been into forex trading for over 5 years, and I share the experience that I have and the knowledge that I’ve accumulated. After taking a short course about forex. Like many forex traders, I’ve earned a significant share of my knowledge the hard way. Macroeconomics, the impact of news on the ever-moving currency markets and trading psychology have always fascinated me. Before founding Forex Crunch, I’ve worked as a programmer in various hi-tech companies. I have a B. Sc. in Computer Science from Ben Gurion University. Given this background, forex software has a relatively bigger share in the posts.

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